Hundreds of thousands of Iranians took to the streets in the largest demonstration on Friday, three days after Trump announced his decision of withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
Nothing could better illustrate the risky incoherence of President Donald Trump's foreign policy than his announcement Tuesday that he is withdrawing from the Iran nuclear deal and reimposing "powerful" sanctions on Tehran.
Alas, it wasn't to be.
Iran is more likely to bide its time before directly confronting the U.S.in the Persian Gulf with speedboats at chokepoints or by sending armed drones and missiles into Israel and Saudi Arabia.
"These actions are further proof that the Iranian regime's reckless actions pose a severe threat to regional peace and security". And it supports militants in Yemen as well as the Taliban in Afghanistan. If they're going to see that it's not in their interest to stay in the deal; we're going to have to watch what the Iranians do.
But the government of President Hassan Rouhani faces political challenges at home, where the economy was already suffering high unemployment and inflation before Trump's decision.
French President Emmanuel Macron warned before Trump's announcement that if Washington pulls fully out of the deal, it could start a war.More news: Cong will win, get over 120 seats: Siddaramaiah
More news: Google celebrates Mother's Day 2018 with a doodle
More news: Church bombings in Indonesia's second biggest city leaves at least two dead
He added that because Donald Trump differs very much from his predecessors, he hasn't ruled out any punitive U.S. moves against Rosatom. European and American companies could lose billions of dollars in commercial deals struck since the 2015 Iranian nuclear accord, and lose access to a major new export market. It was the most serious military confrontation between the two rivals to date. "Not only does the deal fail to halt Iran's nuclear ambitions, but it also fails to address the regime's development of ballistic missiles that could deliver nuclear warheads".
Washington can identify the buyers, sellers, traders, shippers, insurers and financial institutions involved in Iranian oil purchases because all foreign transactions in USA dollars are cleared by the Federal Reserve.
"For the first time, Iran has the chance to show the world they are not the rogue nation they are always presented as, that they negotiated in good faith and keep to their commitments", said Karim Emile Bitar of the Institute for global and Strategic Studies in Paris.
The question now is how the world goes forward.
Since JCPOA does not permit inspection of military sites, it is absurd to accept that Iran is not building nuclear weapons.
The European Union joined the United States and passed its own Iran sanctions in 2012, cutting its imports of Iranian oil from 650,000 bpd to zero. It also seems a good time to apply the kind of pressure on Tehran that appears to have brought North Korea to the negotiating table.
In July 2017, Bolton told an enthusiastic crowd at an MEK conference: "The only solution is to change the regime itself, and that's why before 2019 we here will celebrate in Tehran".